resolve the real issue here. With the certainty of physical law, we can know that city will have a Thai restaurant. Instead, you should identify other people who are even more rational than you (on the matter at hand) and maybe Outside View with them, but no one else. Even people who honestly know about a fixable case of dead babies cant emit a trustworthy request for attention By this point in our civilizations development, many honest buyers and sellers have left the indignation market entirely; and whats left behind is not, on average. But I discovered while re-Googling in 2015 that wider adoption of hand-washing and similar precautions are now finally beginning to occur, after many yearswith an associated 43 nationwide decrease in central-line infections.
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Then if we add a few altruistic researchers to the model, they probably wont be able to find a grantmaker to fund it; and if we add a few altruistic grantmakers to the model, they probably wont be able to find a qualified researcher. A more complicated version: why was Eliezer able to out-predict the Bank of Japan? Systems that are broken in multiple places so that no one actor can make them better, even though, in principle, some magically coordinated action could move to a new stable state. For any clearly visible opportunity to get a sufficiently large number of citations with a small enough amount of work, there are collectively enough academics in this field that somebody will snap up the opportunity. (In the event that this book is ever read by more than 30 of Earths population, I withdraw the above claim.) The argument goes: Youre more rational than average, so you shouldnt adjust to the average.
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